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Source: International Renewable Energy Agency, Renewable Capacity Statistics 2025 (March 2025). According to BloombergNEF, the electricity generation cost of new solar PV reached a record low of $36/MWh in 2024, partly thanks to continuous improvements in manufacturing and partly thanks to supply overcapacity.
Regarding global power generation, solar nearly doubled its share over the past 3 years, growing by 1.3 percentage points only last year to a 7% share in the world's electricity mix. This growth continued to drive renewable penetration and pushed additions of conventional electricity sources to a new low.
Despite these headwinds, the global solar PV market is still expected to grow by 10% in 2025, reaching 655 GW under the Medium Scenario (see Fig. 4). This would mark a continuation of the deceleration trend following the extraordinary 85% growth in 2023 and the more moderate 33% in 2024.
Cumulative solar PV capacity is expected to exceed most energy analysts' forecasts by 2030. If the solar market trajectory continues as projected, total global solar installations are set to triple over the next five years, surpassing 6 TW by 2029 in the Medium Scenario.
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In our STEO forecast, utility-scale solar is the fastest-growing source of electricity generation in the United States, …
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